Earning growth past quarters
Annual Growth Rate- Past 3 years
EPS expected for 2021
97%, 192%, 118%, 215%, 47%
>50 %
>5%
80-100%
53.5
60
0.8
Earning growth past 5 quarters
97%, 192%, 118%, 215%, 47%
Annual growth past 3 years
71%
Profit Margin
>5%
Expected growth next 3 years
80-100%
EPS expected for 2021
53.5
Forward P/E Ratio
60
PEG Ratio
0.8
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PRICE TARGET 2021
3200
%
POTENTIAL RETURN FROM JANUARY 2021
We have used a conservative estimate of 60 to derive our price target.
Amazon.com Inc. stock price has been spectacular so far. It went north of 3200, which is near our end of the year price target, not too long ago. Stocks overshoot the price targets usually as the Wall Street is willing to pay a higher multiple for a high growing stock. Smart investors use caution and become careful if the stock rises too much.
Check out our analysis such as the’MONEY FLOW’ index clearly showed that the smart money was moving out of the stock in 2018 when it fell signficantly.
As we saw in October earning report, Amazon fell significantly even though it had an amazing earning report though the guidance was at a lower end. This is why we like to be conservative as overvalued stocks tend to fall the most even with a slight miss.
Our price target for Amazon is conservative as we have used a PE multiple of 80-90 going forward and assumed a growth rate of 40-50%. This brings the PEG RATIO AT almost 1.5. If it continues to expand at a higher rate, then our price targets will continue to be revised.
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